In most of these monthly updates, I’ve mentioned how smaller data sizes can lead to skewed data. I felt like it was worth having a look at the markets from a larger sample size, so I’ve looked at each market for the first five months of 2026, compared to the year previous.
It does give us a better idea, but even then, the market ups & downs can get lost a bit.
You’re busy, you may not want to read through data tables and me rambling about market this and price per square foot that. This section is short & sweet and shares the main point of this newsletter.
The real estate market here in the Sun City communities is a tale of two seasons. The first was a frigid winter in January & February, and a scorching summer in March through May.
This led to broader sales data looking similar to that of 2025, however, the slow start led to high inventory levels and buyers were quick to take advantage and negotiate favorable deals. This led to prices being down across almost all segments, and longer times to get a home sold.
The busy winter season is winding down, although the market never fully stops here in the Sun Cities, things are definitely slower during the warmer months. The question will be, does this spring momentum carry through the summer & into the fall?
Let’s have a look at the data
680 homes sold in Sun City. This is an increase of 3.50%
The average price was $275,937, a decrease of 5.32%
The median sold price was $265,000, a decrease of 5.86%
Price per square foot was $180.13 a 9.96% decrease
Days on market was 83, a 2.35% decrease
What does it mean?
The market thus far in 2026 has been a rollercoaster, with not the greatest results in the end, at least in regards to prices.
January & February were very slow, and we reached ‘buyers market’ territory for the first time in quite awhile. It didn’t last long though, as buyers took advantage of the market conditions, and many sellers opted out of the market all together.
This led us to a bit of a balanced market as we head into the summer season.
If you would like to see more detailed data on Sun City, check out this market update for just the Sun City market.
Let’s have a look at the data
557 homes sold in Sun City West. This is an increase of 9.65%
The average price was $383,833, a decrease of 5.46%
The median sold price was $355,000, a decrease of 5.33%
Price per square foot was $216.80 a 4.40% decrease
Days on market was 84, a 15.07% increase
What does it mean?
The market here in Sun City West remained strong after the slow start to the year, and has a bit of momentum heading into the summer. Overall, prices are down slightly, but we did see increases in a few segments of the market.
The number of homes sold is up across all segments, which is usually a sign that prices may be going up. Due to the sluggish January & February and increases in the number of homes for sale is the likely culprit holding prices down compared to 2025.
If you would like to see more detailed data on Sun City West, check out this market update for just the Sun City West market.
Let’s have a look at the data
236 homes sold in The Grand in May. This is an decrease of 9.92%
The average price was $478,391, a decrease of 0.96%
The median sold price was $435,000, a decrease of 4.40%
Price per square foot was $254.03 a 4.20% decrease
Days on market was 94, the same as 2025
What does it mean?
The market in the The Grand was a bit of a roller coast in 2026 as well. We saw a sluggish start to the year, then a super busy March & April. After all of that, the number of sales & prices were down slightly.
The average sold price is about the same as last year, but we saw a dip in the median price, which indicates more lower priced homes are selling.
Overall, the market in The Grand is behaving similar to other Sun City communities, and the rest of the Phoenix metro area.
If you would like to see more detailed data on The Grand, check out this market update for just The Grand market.
DISCLAIMER: The explanations & opinions in this post are my interpretations of the data, based on my experiences in the real estate market here in Phoenix. They are my own, and not those of my brokerage, My Home Group Real Estate, LLC.
Data is pulled from the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service.
If you found an error, or disagree with my assessments, I’d love to hear from you. You can reach me at [email protected] or (480) 797-8975
Have questions about the real estate market, or your specific real estate situation? You can reach out to J.D. Manning at (480) 797-8975.
